China Warns US Against Tariff War Amid Dispute Over Rare Earth Minerals

12 October, 2025

China has stated it is "not afraid" of a trade war with the United States, responding to a threat by President Donald Trump to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports. The escalating rhetoric follows China's new restrictions on the export of rare earth metals, critical components for consumer electronics and military hardware. This development threatens to end a recent truce in the trade dispute between the world's two largest economies, with significant implications for global markets and supply chains.

Unpacked:

What are rare earth metals, and why are they important for electronics and military hardware?

Rare earth metals are a group of 17 elements vital for producing high-tech devices and defense systems. They are used in permanent magnets for electric vehicles, wind turbines, and guidance systems, as well as alloys for semiconductors, aircraft engines, and medical imaging equipment.

What recent actions has China taken to restrict rare earth exports, and what materials are affected?

As of July 1, 2025, China has banned exports of rare earth alloys, magnets, and chemical mixtures—processed materials crucial for advanced manufacturing. This ban targets refined products rather than raw ores and is seen as a strategic move in the trade dispute.

How have previous rare earth export restrictions by China impacted global supply chains and trade relations?

China’s export restrictions, such as the 2010 ban to Japan and earlier quota systems, have caused supply disruptions, price spikes, and motivated countries to seek alternative sources. They have also led to international disputes, including WTO intervention in 2014.

What could be the broader economic impact if the trade war escalates and rare earth supply remains restricted?

If rare earth supplies stay limited, industries like automotive, aerospace, semiconductors, and defense face production delays and shortages. This could slow global manufacturing, drive up prices, and destabilize supply chains, affecting economies worldwide.